News from SuSlu: MaEl’s livestock injury is “relatively severe” and he is expected to miss four to six weeks.
The MRI on Eric Chavez showed blahblahblah. Same shit, different day.
Lineup for the A’s:
Sweeney
Sweeney
Sweeney
Sweeney
Sweeney
Sweeney
Sweeney
Sweeney
Wolverine
Now that’s a lineup I can get behind.
…er, yeah. You know what I mean.
Thank you for not posting the real lineup. I would not advise anyone to look at it.
Hmmm, who’s batting ninth?
Wow. Those are some great pockets on the A’s unis.
Hire Bob Hoskins Now!
It seems like there were 7 walks that inning, but apparently there was only 1.
my firefox extensions are supposed to refresh this page automatically every minute. why is it not doing that?
Only 1,000!
no mini sirloin burger?
1. I love those ads
What does the smiley face on the bottom of the page mean? Does it have a function?
I haven’t seen it recently.
I hate that one more than i’ve hated anything in years.
BOO-YA!
They look like something out of the WBC.
My, my, my.Edit: I changed my mind. It looked like he trapped it. Well, at least he sold it.
Revolution?
When Buck does that, the ball rolls through and he gets injured.
Ryan. Beautiful.
Although it may have hit the ground first (booooooooooooooooo-mikeA hey, just calling it like I see it -ws), but whatev. Minor detail.
That can’t possibly be true.
Wow.
eh, I haven’t seen it enough to hate it that much. The “this is our country” ads though… those actually made me mad. I mute my computer when a MGD ad comes up, and the five dollar footlong ads are becoming unbearable.
my mom and her partner sing that commercial to eachother. Strange, they think that I actually like living at home. PLEASE SOMEONE EMPLOY ME!!!111
First the A’s can’t score, and now i break the handle of my pot. THAT WAS A STRIKE.
A lot of it is that that song stayed with me like the klown kollege ad stayed with Homer.
no replay no replay no replay…
Cabrera’s such a party pooper. He put his pant legs down after the first inning. Are you allergic to high socks or something, dude?
We need an inverse of AAAA name for people who suck in the minors but hit well in the majors.
Did that just happen?
That slide was awesome. I love Cust.
Jack Cust is a 5-tool threat.
That can’t possibly be true.
Hahahaha. 1st in the majors!
Just got to a TV. I have that O
hatface.TCPBT
Whoa. RIP, Jack Kemp.
He’s being held in quarantine.
I think Geren said he doesn’t have the swine flu symptoms… but I don’t remember where I read that. So, who knows.
What the feck was that?
Whoa. Petit is fast.
I didn’t need reminding, but Suzuki has a really good arm.
Merci.
Geren’s really cute when he warms up the pitcher between innings.
Gregorio should really take Not-Corey’s uni #.
I’m hungry.
Stupid fans. Get out of the way.
What, exactly, is “European-style lounging”?
That was a nice 180-degree hop by Bailey.
Now let’s get
a DPa dozen runs and some clam chowder.well, as for if we score if he holds up at third, it would be something like …
BAnext hitter + ((OBP-BA)next hitter * OBPhitter after that)
if things are really simplistic.
Now, I reckon that it’d be near impossible to find something that simplistic for the fielding component of this, but it’d have something to do with … Ichiro’s arm, distance to the plate (for both throw and runner), competency of Rob Johnson behind the plate (which if you believe LL is 0, so Bobby running would be a smart thing to do), and Croz’ speed. I don’t have a clue how to model that, but seeing the replay several times, unless Rob Johnson is truly incompetent, it was ill-advised.
Well, as to the first 35% claim — there were two outs. Sweeney’s up next. Give him a .350 OBP (which is generous) — sure, he could walk/hbp, but that punts it to the next batter, Cabrera, not only knocking the % down further individually but serially/multiplicatively (I think — someone pls correct me if I’m wrong).
The second is a wild-ass guess. Sure, Ichiro’s got a great arm, but, hey, anything can happen.
Plus, while that run isn’t an absolute 100% win (as it would have been had the A’s been the home team), it’s probably pretty close. Extra runs after that (in the classic, big-inning-maximizing sabr argument against smallball) are gravy.
‘Course, I’m giving Crosby more credit than he deserves, b/c in the postgame writeups he says he put his head down and didn’t even see Gallego’s stop sign.
One approach would be to use win expectancy, with three situations of interest:
1. Crosby scores, Petit on 2nd, 2 out => WE = 0.816
2. Crosby out, inning over => WE = 0.344
3. Crosby holds at 3rd, Petit on 1st, 2 out => WE = 0.525
So Crosby’s odds of scoring have to be better than (525-344)/(816-344) ~ 38% for the play to be worthwhile.
Uhh … odd approach to that by Holliday.
It is now over, but a replay of the 73 world series just started!
So the oak leaf behind the O on the hats kind of looks like a bear.
“sometimes inconsistent”?
Endy is not
Ichiroclam chowder.In the helmet and throwback uni, Gallego looks like he just stepped out of Super Mario Bros., or maybe Speed Racer.
I was hoping it would be a Breaking Bad clip.
Ha!
there we go, G.
I looked this up, but he actually had two seasons with double-digit steals in pro ball… IIRC, a Pioneer League season (and that’s a short season too) in Lethbridge and a Texas League season in El Paso.
Lol! That shift worked real well for ya, didn’t it?
I just got home, turned on
the game, andwescored! Hooray!Who is editing my shit?
It wasn’t me.
Do they not throw breaking balls in the NL?
Suzuki will hit a grand slam.
Cust should really have a hyphen in his uni #.
He’s faster than I thought.
fuck you, ump
that’s just another way of saying the offense is off the a horrible start. They have a .646 team OPS and a team of replacement level players could do that. It’s good that they haven’t completely tanked with the offense being so bad. It’ll get a lot better, although it will be a fair bit worse than most of us thought at the beginning of the year.
It’s basically just saying that e.g. Mark Ellis, if he finishes with a .503 OPS, is worth less than nothing because everyone who has ever played in the majors except tony pena jr. can do that.
Oregon music?
Oh. crap. I thought it included pitching in the team one, too. That’s why I was so puzzled.
Yeah, replacement level offence is the one I know and love.
Annoying commercials – current hate list:
1) AT&T “rollover minutes”
2) Comcast “speed boost”
3) Subway “five dollar”
These uniforms are awesome.
Completing the thought from the bottom of the Derby thread:
2. Good Lovin, Cumberland, Cryptical>Other One>Drums>Morning Dew, St. Stephen>Revolution, Help on the Way>Franklin’s. And then (duh) E: Samson
The Anaheim media market?
I hate work.
And WTF Ellis? I’m over this DL crap. I mean, I thought I was over it last year but this is IT.
not a strike.
I think I’m going to buy some of those socks and hang them up at Christmas.
He was safe, but umpires usually call outs on those.
nice slide by crosby
So did the Oaks wear jerseys that were faked to look like vests?
HAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAAHAHAHAHAHAHAH
WHAT?!? That never works!
I like this Gregorio Petit fellow.
Hmm, maybe Petit really just can’t hit in the PCL…
nice! that was a hell of a slam by crosby
no — THIS is the worst fucking ad
Geren looks like a fool in the Oaks hat. Even more so than usual.
Trying to hit HRs to CF against the A’s is silly.
wuertz has a funny little short-arm delivery
On the replay it looks like the catcher was trying to block the plate w/o the ball — was already on his knees and got too low to get the big hop. Bad baserunning gets something good for a change.
So what’s the deal with Ziggy, do we know if it’s the regular flu or Hamthrax?
Maybe we need to wear the throwback unis against the M’s more often.
I love me some Petit.
CHOUCROUTE DE TRIOMPHE!
Un Petit victoire. Tres bien.
For the first time in five tries, the A’s managed to beat a team that frequently starts Endy Chavez in LF and often starts Mike Sweeney at DH.
Aw. That was a cute interview.
More Braden love: that promo they played in the (7th?) was some quality VO work.
The funny thing, to me, is that Crosby’s decision to ignore the stop sign and try to beat Ichiro was a typical dumb decision by Bobby.
But Ichiro’s throw was tough for the catcher to grab, so Crosby gets credit for being aggressive.
It was still dumb. I’m glad it worked out.
Right now on MLB network I just stumbled across a replay of the 72 world series
Question –
Came across a post at draysbay which said the A’s combined player value was the worst in baseball – including the hapless Natinals. I don’t know what exactly that means, but seriously, that can’t possibly be true… or can it?
Individual player values at Fangraphs here and team values here. (and A’s players here.)
It says the A’s are worth negative $2m, which, if nothing else, means paying our team is significantly overpaying them. I’m trying to understand the system of measurement, and I think it’s just a basic multiplying win values by some arbitrary dollar amount per win? And based off runs (WAR, if I read everything correctly), or something? I’m not sure.
But any statistic in which you are 30th is probably not good. And if you have negative values and it is based off WAR, that means we could be fielding a replacement-level team and be doing better? I mean, I’ve listened to most of this team’s games, and I don’t perceive them to be so bad that they are below replacement level… but I don’t know.
Whu … how does one write an entire feature about official scorers, and yet never allow a critique of “errors” and AVG as meaningless stats? OK, fine, if FitzGerald himself doesn’t want to say it, fine — but it’s unprofessional/irresponsible not to interview at least one sabr type to say “This is why errors and AVG are meaningless and why no one who’s not an idiot pays attention to them any more.”