I haven’t been around much lately but I’ve enjoyed draft day discussions with you all in the past,
Draft starts at 3pm, with the first 36 picks today. A’s have picks 6 and 33 today.
Even hours before the draft it remains very unclear who’s going where. BA is speculating that the A’s may have made a pre draft deal with Keston Hiura. Which, if true could be a very smart move in my opinion.
Also, I hear there’s some sort of non-baseball sporting event going on today too.
I’m not a big fan of Hiura. Choosing a guy at 6 who may need TJ and doesn’t really have a defensive home even when healthy just doesn’t seem smart to me.
They have plenty of available slot money for BPA. This is an organization that has had issue recognizing and drafting impact talent for a long time now with their first rounders – I don’t see them having a better go at it with later round picks.
Tidbits I’ve found from skimming BA and other sites:
As with last year, there doesn’t seem to be a consensus #1 this year. Further complicating things, 2 of the consensus top 3 are real two-way prospects, with scouts differing on whether they will end up as pitchers or hitters. These are:
Brendan McKay – 1B/LHP, Louisville
Hunter Greene – RHP/SS, HS
Kyle Wright – RHP, Vanderbilt
They might not all go in the first three picks, but will almost certainly be gone before the A’s pick at #6
(Jim Callis has Wright falling to the A’s, though, as Puk did last year.)
The other two players most likely to be drafted in the top 5 are:
MacKenzie Gore – LHP, HS
Royce Lewis – SS/OF, HS
Despite the A’s famous disdain for 1st round HS pitchers (last was Bonderman?) they are said to really like Gore, but now it looks like he may go as high as #3 to the Padres.
I haven’t seen anything tying them to Lewis, but he might be the best HS bat in the draft, so if he did fall, maybe they would consider him.
Players linked to the A’s:
Austin Beck – OF, HS
Keston Hiura – 2B/OF, UC Irvine
Jeren Kendall – OF, Vanderbilt
J.B. Bukauskas – RHP, UNC
Beck has been mentioned a lot as a hitter the A’s like, and will probably be a top 10 pick.
Hiura, as Aardvark says, is the subject of some recent buzz around both the A’s, and also (surprisingly) the Braves who pick just before Oakland. He is said to be a “bat-first” player, with questions around his defense (so would fit right in), and also might come a little cheaper, possibly saving money that could be used to go over-slot on later picks. That combination sounds a little disappointing for the #6 pick.
BA had the A’s picking Kendell and Bukauskas in early mock drafts, but both have subsequently fallen to the middle of the first round. In Bukauskas’ case, it’s because he had some surprising struggles in late-season starts.
BA mocks
Slusser
MLB mock
Beck would be my choice. He’s projected to stick in center, is athletic, has power, and has 60-70 grade speed. There’s been Trout comps which makes me roll my eyes a bit but he does profile similarly to George Springer or Grady Sizemore. I love power/speed combo centerfielders.
i know nothing from nothing, but my choice would be whoever the A’s decide not to take.
He’s available!!!!!
BA Mock 5.0
If Wright is available at 6, that would be incredible. And if the A’s pass on him, that would be even more incredible.
Twins take Royce Lewis.
Twins take Royce Lewis.
While I usually dislike the below slot deal approach, I think it’s a smart year to make a deal. I do like some of the other players who would likely be available at 6, but given that the talent level is so close, I think it’s not a bad idea to save some money that could go for a player in on of the next few rounds who falls.
Hiura has risk because he hasn’t played the field and will probably need TJ surgery after signing. Yes there’s lost development time but TJ concerns me a lot less for a position player.
He has great bat speed an an advanced approach, with good power. By some accounts his bat is close to MLB ready now, which makes me far less concerned about his defensive questions.
I just don’t agree that the talent is close. Without even comparing to the high impact prep talents likely to be available, there’s no indication from reports that his hitting stands out among just the top college level bats like Haseley, Pavin Smith, or Brent Rooker (who are all healthy and have set positions, with the exception of maybe Rooker). If he was far and away the unanimous best bat in the class, then it’d be more interesting. But he isn’t, which means that the other minuses (injury, defense) become magnified.
With number 6 overall, you don’t need to settle for someone with that many question marks. I can understand cutting an underslot deal with a guy like this at 20+.
We must be looking at different sources then. For example BA has him among the top 3 college players for both hit tool and strike zone discipline. And his power is at least above average.
To compare to those other guys, Smith is also on both. Rooker is listed as top 3 in power, Haseley is top 3 on none of those tools.
Yes, his best two attributes are surely top 3 or we wouldn’t be having this discussion. What about power?
The point is that he pretty much needs to be the unanimous best college bat to offset the other concerns he has that similar top college guys don’t have. Which source confirms this?
I edited my post to add more info, his power is at least above average, plus according to some. And I disagree that he has to be the unanimous best college bat to offset the concerns. If his bat is similar or even tick below Smith’s and he wind’s up at even LF rather than 2b or CF, he’s of comparable value to Smith who is a 1b. If you can get that with a discount, I’m all for it.
We shall see soon enough. Either this is the last discussion we have on Hiura or the first of many.
I do love a good prospect debate.
He’s the leader in park-adjusted runs created but I don’t know if that takes quality of competition into account.
It’s a definite point in his favor, but it’s a small part of the equation. There’s a reason why none of the other guys in the top ten by wRC+ are projected as first rounders.
Gratuitous Jeter slurpage in the MLB Network intro package.
Law has who’s going 1 already. It’s Royce Lewis.
Scouting report on Lewis:
There was talk that the Twins analytics team wanted McKay and their scouts wanted Greene. Guess this was the compromise pick.
Greene goes #2:
[rolls eyes] do we really need to have the debate over a mile per hour? for a HS kid?
Yeah, that’s fucking stupid.
Gore 3 and McKay 4 seem fairly certain
Gore to SD:
Boo
Rays must be thrilled to get Mckay:
On the clock!!
Wright:
What’s the incentive for a player to agree to an underslot deal before being picked? He likes the system?
The incentive is that someone else might take the deal and get drafted in that slot if you don’t.
But why does that matter to me? The value to me in getting drafted above that player is the higher slot value, and I’m not getting that. Is the idea that that the players getting these offers are going to be picked so far above their talent range that even an underslot deal will be a net plus?
I think that’s the idea.
e.g. Merrell was picked 33rd, ended up signing for #38 slot amount, which is still higher than most expected him to go.
The part I don’t fully understand is the maneuvering involved in taking the underslot guys first to free up money for someone they like more but don’t draft until the third round.
Woah, Dalles Braden’s beard!
Lenscrafters gets his wish:
alrighty then
Excellent. Hope I was right.
Dbacks take Pavin Smith:
2 college 1B top 10 overall…has this ever happened?
And I have to leave for a bit now.
We get another pick tonight!
This kid’s got an 80 wispy high school mustache tool.
Future comp: Josh Reddick
FUTURE COMP: DAVID BOWIE ……………………………………………….June 12, 2017 631pm |up
don’t they try to obscure who they are interested in?
“already had the surgery, may as well let him start, I’m not worried about his durability”
Reports have him at 70-80 grade speed with some contact and plate discipline skills. Doesn’t have a position or power. The hope is that he figures out how to play CF and walks enough to make the speed a factor.
you seem bored
stressed
pshaw. “stressed.”
imagine being a kitten with all these fireworks.
THIS IS NOT THE HEAVY PETTING I WANTED TO DO TONIGHT.
Decent power and arm but not much else. A’s could’ve done better both here and 33. Will be interesting to see how the second day goes as they should have some savings from these two picks.
Some video of Beck:
He has some fire to his game. It’d be nice to see some of that return to A’s baseball.
© 2024 FREE KRAUT! — All Rights Reserved.