What am I missing? This seems like an entirely light return for a very good, cost effective starter without a long contract that would hurt your team.
The return
Jacob Nottingham
Daniel Mengden
Honestly the only thing that I can think of thats great about this deal is calling Nottingham the Sheriff when he cuts down basestealers. But ive been boycotting baseball this year as a result of Beane’s other dumb trades so Im not following prospects at this point. Please tell me Im wrong.
In play, run(s)! Talk dirty to me gamecast, talk dirty. - Nevermoor
Nottingham is #71 on Sickel’s list and Kiley gave him a 50 FV. He is a 20 yr old catcher who just destroyed low A and doesn’t seem to slow down any in A+. He has a very high upside.
If I read this right he has always been young for his leagues as well, which is good. And I mentioned this in the other thread, but it seems they have been good recently at picking catchers up, so I will assume he is even better than we think.
He is one of the ten youngest players in California League, and he is batting wRC+ of ~160 there while playing catcher.
Yeah… I mean thats my hope as well. Though highschool players drafted as catchers have a low return rate. But honestly, with the market being such a sellers market, I don’t get why he couldn’t have gotten more.
Its funny you say that. I have seen a few folks: Buster in particular, talk about how it has moved to a buyers market.
right which is Beane fundamentally misjuding the market
I don’t think he misjudged the market.
He just held out hope in his team too long.
He should have sold July 1 but he waited to see if the team would turn things around. I think he’s still getting solid value with his deals.
Holding out hope for your team when its in last place is dumb.
I don’t disagree.
Who is already playing 1b and there are serious doubts about his ability to stick behind the plate.
He has played first base 12 times in his career and 3 times this year, as opposed to 134 games he caught.
BBR has him DHing 10 and 1b 11 and Catching 55 games in 2015
http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=nottin000jac&utm_campaign=Linker&utm_source=direct&utm_medium=linker-mlb.traderumors.com
Though I guess I could be reading wrong.
12 and 134 were career numbers.
if you are going to talk about recency being a value in minorleague evals im not sure why you are going to dismiss recency on the defensive side.
I don’t know that there are serious doubts. From Kiley today:
That seems to me like normal growing pains. He’s no Pete O’Brien
He had a history of knee problems, including knee surgery, in high school and pretty much every article written by a beat writer mentions his defense as a deficiency, hes played 28% of his games as a 20 yo not behind the dish.
I don’t think hes Pete OBrien, but youre betting alot on a high BABIP this year, that his first two years of ok but not great production aren’t more indicative of his talent than this year is and that his defense will hold up.
I’m not betting on a high BABIP. I’m betting on a player who is 1-2 years young for the level of play hitting the crap out of the ball (14 HR in 76 games among other things) while playing adequate catcher turning into a fair return for two months of a pitcher who was just a bit better than average this year.
And yes, when evaluating teenagers and such, I put more value in recent production than the one from one or two years ago, because those players are developing.
Also, most of the catchers in the minors do not catch in about 20% of games they play.
So what you are saying is that he is not catching at a higher rate than most catchers in the minors?
Yes hes hitting the crap out of the ball this year. Im not disputing it. And its better to have not hit the ball farther away in time. But hes kinda come out of nowhere which makes me suspicious of half a season worth of data.
Mayo: “The big question is whether he can stay behind the plate longterm”
http://m.mlb.com/video/topic/26271672/v285964383/schwarber-on-track-for-breakout-season-with-cubs/?c_id=mlb
BA implies that the A’s lack of emphasis on catcher defense will help Nottingham stick behind the plate, but that that was a concern with the Astros who are a catch and throw team.
http://www.baseballamerica.com/majors/trade-central-astros-bring-kazmir-home/
Um didn’t they jettison Norris partly because he’s bad defensively
Thanks, and go As.
I think it was mostly because he was complaining and at peak value.
I think it was mostly the second thing and less the first.
Thanks, and go As.
for his reputation as a smooth operator, Beane has a tendency to deal players that mouth off.
Well, except for Reddick.
yet
Though I guess the A’s have a history of doing well with those kinds of prospects. But as a 1bman his hitting is impressive this year but dreadful last.
DFA!
DMOAS!!!!
Hi… heres some angles fan kids failing at food
Maybe if you say “A’s trade two months of Kazmir for two mediocre prospects” you’ll feel better.
The A’s trade two Kazmir and a draft pick and a larger draft pool for a young hitter that might be limited to 1b and a bullpen arm/backend starter thats giving up a bunch of hits this year.
So, no.
The fact that it is only two months is an asset to many contending teams that don’t want to take on a Cole Hammels type deal.
I would think that rationale only works with a deal that is in between Kazmir’s (two months left) and Hamels’ (three years left at big money). Then again, the A’s seemingly chose Lester over Price because of not wanting to pay him for 2015, so who the hell knows anymore.
there are plenty of teams that are budget maxed out this year.
The bluejays being one. We could have had Pompey or someone in the upper minors in the OF to help with the garbagecanfire that beane is trying to get to contend next year.
In these situations, one has to be careful not to miss the (Nottingham) Forest for the trees.
One of these days that bear is going to realize that that fox fits his prey profile.
This isn’t like the Moss or Donaldson trades where it was just clearly bad from the beginning. These prospects are too far away to make any real declaration on and we are only trading away 2 months of Kazmir.
Donaldson was a franchise altering stupid deal… not a high bar. This team isn’t built to contend and its not built for the future. Maximizing resources like Kazmir is critical either way. I don’t think that this is close enough for you to not have to sell everything and im not sure this is who i want if im starting completely over.
Beane should have been fired for the Donaldson trade. Just fucking dumb.
The Moss deal like this one has a limit to how bad it can be. Even if Moss/Kaz perform well, they’re already old/close to FA, expensive, and not franchise players.
Donaldson, well….
How is Kazmir expensive?
Trading him saved ~6M. I doubt the A’s do anything with that money. But it saved the same amount as the Moss trade.
Well, eating that for a better return would be insignificant anyways.
If we had kept him and gotten a comp pick everybody would bitch about “not getting anything” for Kazmir.
Whatever.
Thanks, and go As.
And if he blows his arm out in his next start the same.
(please note I have no power to make the universe change. This statement cannot cause Kaz to blow his arm out..)
I still would have given him a QO
I don’t think a comp pick would have been the worst thing in the world
Now we have 2 guys performing well in the minors instead of a comp pick.
Thanks, and go As.
I’m not crazy about this return but it’s way better than a comp pick.
I would agree that its better than a comp pick. However, thats not the calculus… this is
Value of Nottingham and Mengden < Value of (Probability of Better return * value of return + Probability of no deal (Probability that QO is offered * value of QO - Probability of No QO)
Essentially I believe that the holding out for a better return is worth the possibility of ending up with just a compensation picks or keeping Kazmir for 14m next year.
Not quite. Considering all possible deals D (including those worse than N+M), you want to ask if
V(N+M) < ∑ P(D)*V(D) + (1 - ∑ P(D))*P(QO)*(P(accept|QO)*V(K,QO) + P(reject|QO)*V(CP)) (where I'm omitting the no QO term since its value is zero).
you mathy people.
You might want to add a time component, too.
Something like:
V(N+M) – $0.5MM < ∑ P(D)*(V(D) - $0.5MM - (T(D)-T(N+M))*$11MM/Season) + (1 – ∑ P(D))*(P(QO)*(P(accept|QO)*V(K,QO) + P(reject|QO)*V(CP)-(T(SeasonEnd)-T(N+M))*$11MM/Season)
NERDS!
Not nerdy until its in the special math symbol language the nerds made me install.
V_{N+M} – V_{TB} < \sum P_{D}*(V_{D} - V_{TB} - \frac{T_{D} - T_{N+M}}{T_{End15} - T_{Start15}}*V_{Salary15}) + (1-\sum P_{D})*(P_{QO}*(P_{aQO}*V_{K,QO} + (1-P_{aQO})*V_{CP})- \frac{T_{End15} - T_{N+M}}{T_{End15} - T_{Start15}}*V_{Salary15})[/latex] Hmm, is latex not working? I have funny effects of it sometimes being displayed properly and sometimes not (baseically, when I click edit and save it displays properly, and after a refresh it is gone). Here is a snapshot, just in case:
Now we’re nerdy!
You had me at (T(D)-T(N+M)).
For what it is worth, Keith Law thinks Houston gave up a lot for only two months of Kashmir.
Looks like Nottingham’s team played Kane County today so he was just able to walk over to the other clubhouse.
Kane County was like two affiliates ago.
Makes sense, about when I stopped paying close attention.
So now you have Barreto and Nottingham as the high upside A ball guys and likely a top 10 pick next year… who do you trade for A ball guys so that you can build a core at this point?
So, Barreto has a high upside now? :)
Yes, still not high enough or close enough this offseason to be the centerpiece of a trade for MVP talent.
And Chapman given his performance.
I hadn’t seen his performance, but you gotta be concerned about it being Cal league driven no?
I would think so, but fangraphs has him down for 147 wRC+ this year and I think that is league/park-adjusted, right?
Sure. He isn’t quite a top 100 prospect until he does it outside Stockton. But he’s a lock to be a good 3b, the question was the bat. And this year, the bat has shown that it has at least some promise.
This isn’t Miles Head or Chris Carter where the bat has to be special.
neat
Im just not going to believe that cal league numbers on someone that pretty much everyone said was going to have problems hitting in pro ball and then had problems hitting in pro ball and then was a college player in the cal league that hit.
I get the caution, but you can’t just ignore a 140+ wRC+. He’s not an A prospect yet. He’s a B/B+ prospect. There’s not much he could have done better this year and completely ignoring that seems cherrypicking to me.
I don’t think you ignore it but sickles said C+/B- before the start of the year. I think hes a B spec now. If you find someone that will give you B+ value for him I would trade him in a heartbeat.
I’m fine with that. You don’t see many prospect for prospect trades though.
I wasn’t suggesting a prospect for prospect trade. You do see sometimes third players in deals trade specs and get specs back…. something like that.
You obviously trade Zobrist. I have to think there’s a good chance Reddick goes either now or in the offseason, him being a free agent after next season, and high upside A ball guys seems like a reasonable return for him. I’m not trading Gray now. Other than that, it’s hard to see anybody who would bring back meaningful prospects.
All this assumes something that doesn’t fit Beane’s profile: The full-scale rebuild.
At this point, the strategy of trading guys like Reddick for high-ceiling A ball guys seems like the best plan. But Beane has never really done that before.
Everyone knows that im the tear it down guy. Except for last offseason when I thought that we needed to go all in for this year. We didn’t. I don’t know what Beane is doing, but I really don’t like this plan.
Also we need a top 5 draft pick and get a kid that is going to be a superstar or we are kinda fucked.
I occasionally catch myself thinking, “Hey, the A’s are finally going to be bad enough to get a really high draft pick next year.”
And then I remember that a high draft pick in baseball is basically a guarantee of nothing unless you get really lucky. Counting on one high first round pick to turn everything around seems… unrealistic.
I would have done the same as you, by the way. I would have gone for it this year. But I’m less convinced now that this strategy would have produced a true contender. This team would have had problems either way. Shoot, I hate the Donaldson trade more on general principle (hey, we lucked into a star player in the prime of his career; don’t give him away) than on the idea that keeping him would have produced enough more wins to be a real contender this year. Graveman has been useful, even if I’m not really sold on him. I guess we’re hoping Ron Washington can teach Barreto to field.
Graveman has a 4.60 FIP… thats hardly useful. At its best, if Barreto is as good as EC thinks, then we recoup what we lost but there is essentially no potential that we surpass what we lost.
Your odds markedly improve in the top 10 though just look at the past 10 years
Pick 1: Carlos Correa, Cole, Harper, Strausberg, Price, Upton
Pick 2: Kris Bryant, Byron Buxton, Ackely Gordon
Pick 3: Rodon, Machado, Bauer, Hosmer, Longoria
Pick 4: Schwarber, Zimmerman ( I had no idea the 4 spot has been this bad recently)
Pick 5: Posey, Wieters, Braun, Morrow
As noted, I’m not sold on Graveman, hadn’t checked the advanced numbers on him, which confirms my eye test. He’s gotten better results for a stretch, although he already is falling down to earth.
I guess the A’s really shouldn’t want Pick 4. It’s cursed. There are some very good players on that list, but some of them are the definition of decent or up and down. And obviously, there are some players in the past 10 years that haven’t amounted to anything.
The Donaldson trade vexes me because, even if the A’s were stuck paying $20 million a year on him in arbitration, they had control of the guy through his prime production years. Why trade him unless you’re offered something crazy-good in return? That’s not what they got, unless Barreto turns out to be an outstanding infielder. (Yes, fine. Nolin could recover from injury and help out.) Lawrie hasn’t been awful, or injured, but he’s not anything close to an adequate replacement. Instead, Beane spent a lot of money on Billy Butler, who is predictably useless.
A 3-4-5 of Vogt, Donaldson, and Reddick sounds pretty good to me.
yeah the butler decision is part of the gualing nature of the Donaldson trade. Basically we used financil savings to hurt our team instead of helping it… oh great.
This trade doesn’t seem too awful. Yeah, I would have liked to get guys closer to the majors, but I would rather get a player who might be a stud hitter.
are there 30 HR guys in the system that you don’t have to squint at?
Season or career?
I suppose that is one way to answer
Olson hit 40 last year, but his in-game power took a step back in AA this year.
But what’s the scouting report on his outside-the-game power?
Guy from Sickels’ site on the two youngsters, with video. Snippets:
Hi, DFA. How have you been?
I spent most of yesterday run drills with my crew and then driving to Fresno to see my wife so I didn’t see this thread until now.
In case my two cents might help… I think Beane got a solid return for Kaz. I spent some time talking trades on various sites and I felt like the best deal we could realistically expect would have been a couple A-ball players with 50 or better grades. I think there’s a very good chance Nottingham ends up a 55 by the time BA publishes their next book. Mengden has an amazing moustache and enough fastball that once he gets away from Lancaster I think he’ll show enough to earn a 50 grade.
I wish Beane would have sold in early July, as he could have gotten a better deal then thanks to no one else Selling and Kazmir’s new team getting an extra 3-ish GS. But that’s me thinking the end was clear July 1.
What Beane did yesterday was the best value he could have gotten selling July 23. I’ve read enough on Nottingham to think he’s got a good chance to stick at Catcher with enough bat to play elsewhere if catching doesn’t work out. Mengden probably profiles as a #4 SP but maybe the A’s coaching staff can tweak out a #3 ceiling.
i think there were 2 health scares early in the month.
With Kazmir?
One right before the All-Star break. What other scare?
I thought there was another one. before the ame he came out of
That is also what i recall, vaguely.
yay
I’m not crazy!
How is it that no one asks the important questions?
We is your wife in the ‘No?
Midpoint between home and where I’m working for the next 10 weeks.
I’m down near SLO and there’s only so much driving a preggers woman will do!
You’re missing the action at Kyburz, right outside your back door. Los Padres can definitely get some action in the summer though. Seems like the Ventana Wilderness blows up every few years.
I was on the Kyburz Fire in 2013. My forest needs to get more creative with names.
My station got an inch of rain about 5 days ago. Lots of lightning as well but nothing came of it. Plenty of summer remaining and I’m in a spot that gets called in a lot of different directions.
I hope they save the awesome roadside sign there that says “Welcome to Kyburz. Now leaving Kyburz.”
A classic. Yes, I took this while driving.
Confirmation: the sign survived.
I would have helped crowdfund a replacement sign if such was needed.
Fortunately my crew is good.
I’ll check with my crew and let you know.
Yeah, that is the right mid-point to choose, especially for a woman in condition. Short of saying “let’s meet at the state trees on the 99…”
A day or two in Fresno never hurt anyone.
Much.
Got a nice room at an extended stay hotel, so a full size fridge in the kitchenette to hold our left-overs.
ive spent two days in Fresno… it definitely hurt.
Well a couple of things.
One he could have consolidated to get a higher ranked guy. Two Im not sure what the hell he thinks hes doing next year. We have an ace and a bunch of mid/back of the rotations guys in terms of pitching talent and no hitting talent beyond our catching (which while we have a lot of control is probably worth more to us than someone else) a guy in RF for one more year who in addition to me hating him is a constant injury/suckage risk, even though hes got the highest nongray ceiling at this point and you pray that burns isn’t a mirage and that Simien can either turn into a better hitter or a adequate 2bman.
I think Mengden as a #3 ceiling is overly optimisitc since much of what ive read basically says 4 or 5 guy.
As for me im still unemployed, but have had better luck in getting interviews recently and should hear back on something that i think I got a good shot with in two weeks. Cooking alot and boycotting the A’s. I literally haven’t watched a game of this dumpster fire… so I got that going for me.
Consolidation for a higher ranked guy would have required Beane to make a deal with himself, or at least his doppelganger. At least with Kazmir. Detroit’s will they/won’t they with Price is probably keeping teams from being willing to part with their best prospects in the hope that if the Tigers do sell they can pay for a true #1. And if Detroit holds, than those teams get to keep their top prospects. Really, a Win-Win.
There might be a snowballs chance in Hell he could pull that off with Zobrist.
Good luck with the call back. Take care.
Right but that is also why Beane should have been dealing early before the glut broke.
Beane was the first major deal. For all we know there was no glut.
What we do know: It was reported for the first 3 weeks of july that there was a sellers market and that people were sniffing around a bunch of different arms. Now we know that the Tigers are falling out of it, putting price on the market and there are a lot less teams in contention than there were three weeks ago.
I think it’s unlikely in general that selling early gets you a better deal, more likely the other way around. A common dynamic in most types of negotiations is that if there is a deadline, both sides tend to withhold their best offers until the deadline is approaching, which is why almost all of the big in-season trades happen in the few days before the deadline. Especially on the selling side of it in baseball, you are losing leverage by being willing to sell early.
Yeah. I think you can create that by saying hey we are dealing Kazmir Zorbist and Clippard by the end of the allstar break to the highest bidder… we also know that they will help your team more than trying to acquire them a month latter.
If you have the reputation as someone who doesn’t dick around, I think you do the exact same thing as the 31st.
What has been said is that the A’s put teams on hols in early July, obviously hoping to see if things were going to turn around.
What is certain is that there were teams looking to Buy July 1st and if you believe AA in Toronto… even earlier.
Don’t know if you’re still looking or might be interested. I’ll leave this here in case you are.
Thanks… but unfortunately I don’t have a Masters… but I am looking in that realm :)
How are the interviews going?
And if you’re interested in a distraction I can email you a hare-brained trade idea I’ve been playing with.
sorry i just saw this late… you can always email me. Interviews are going so slowly… its as if no one wants to take less than 2 months to hire someone
The public sector, at least, takes more time to hire someone than seems even remotely possible. I have found this to be true across many jurisdictions, and totally regardless of how much they might want you. Often agencies are specifically prohibited, in fact, from telling a candidate they want to just hang in there and be patient. It’s crazy. Six months from interview to offer letter is very common…again, even if you’re their top choice.
I hope so… because holy shit I don’t understand how it can take this long.
Yeesh.
Email sent. Let me know what you think.
(now call him)
Thanks, and go As.
Man, the local media hot takes about the A’s every time they make a trade seem even worse than usual right now. The comparisons to the Giants (made worse by the timing of this deal) are driving me up the FKing wall. Or maybe I’ve just finally reached the breaking point with all of this garbage.
Once you’ve seen one Cohn/Jenkins/Lieberman opinion piece, you’ve seen them all.
i think jenkins should spend more time on that column. he is a writer, for my entertainment, sure he likely has a family, but as a fan, I deserve more pop in my media. No going to dinner with the spouse, not hockey games for the kids, sit in you hole and write me a better column, monkey.
Clippard + cash for this guy, from the Mets.
Sounds like a pretty nice return for two months of a not-that-great reliever.
Also, here’s the mention last December by Sickels. Might improve after his season so far. http://www.minorleagueball.com/2014/12/16/7402313/new-york-mets-top-20-prospects-for-2015
20) Casey Meisner, RHP, Grade C+: Age 19, posted 3.75 ERA with 67/18 K/BB in 62 innings in New York-Penn League. Doesn’t throw that hard yet but shows unusual control for a tall pitcher (6-7) and projects more velocity. Could advance quickly in Low-A.
Kiley McD is less enthusiastic.
I don’t know anything about development, but I always thought the A’s had a good change development program.
Not-that-great except maybe in comparison to the rest of Team Dynamite.
I mean its not like we gave up much of value. Hard to get a big return for a non elite reliever.
KLaw likes the trade for Oakland: insider link, but you can get the point from the headline.
He’s a project.
And there’s a whole lot of him to project. A nice pick-up.
Buckle up, y’all:
EO’F as closer would be a very good way of locking in a high draft pick.
I think he’s high on Meisner.
Who isn’t?
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Read the thread, colin.
I always really wanted a Tulo-JD left side of the infield…
Switching to the Blue Jays, huh?
For 2015 at least.
I’ve always loved me some offense.
Copy that.
I always wanted LaTroy Hawkins. Everybody else has had him, so why not us?
Prepare the hot take machines:
#teamdynamite
Team dynamite is our friend now. Can’t do a full rebuild without some demolition first.
#teamlaguardia
We aren’t THAT bad. And we don’t have $4B.
#teambastardjonsnow
You know nothing, Jon Snow.
Still the best taunt of the 2015 season.
Read the thread, FSU.
It really was.
Two pitchers coming back to the A’s according to Passan.
We’re just never going to hit the ball then?
Thanks, and go As.
billy burns is ok with that
Cross your fingers that Chapman, Olson, Nunez all pan out.
Let’s write an article on how LOADED the 2018 A’s are going to be! And then ban anyone who points out that some prospects sometimes fail.
i’m confused? they are all locks.
That’s just a list of inmates on Orange is the New Black, isn’t it.
“best thing on TV.”
there, i said it.
I’ve been disappointed in this season. Some great, great moments that keep me coming back (Black Cindy and the guards, mostly), but there has been some really uneven writing, boring plot lines, and hacky directing.
Still got the finale to go, however.
only on episode 3. not a huge fan so far, but will stick with it
You can’t recap shows on Netflix. I got sick after a vacation and plowed through Season 3 pretty quickly. But I’m not going to recap the darned thing, not that anyone was asking.
It’s just a weird dynamic with these “all at once” show dumps. No time to breathe, and if you do (as I usually do), everyone else is way ahead because they’re crazy.
If, hypothetically, you decided to recap it, I would be in for much commenting and discussing. It pains me that I either don’t watch (Justified, Breaking Bad) or am nowhere near caught up on (Mad Men) the shows you expertly recap.
I haven’t tried Orange is the New Black yet…we watched Bloodline on Netflix. I thought it was tedious but my wife liked it.
we’re watching bloodline now. it does move slowly. but i don’t mind that.
my concern is that it’s one of those shows the characters switch allegiances all the time. or like that guy in true blood or the black donnellys who’s dumb, and no matter how many people tell him not to do XYZ, and how much he promises not to do XYZ, as soon as he can, he does X and Y, then realiezs his mistake and tries to fix it by doing Z. but we’ve barely just begun, so it may only seem that way with danny right now.
I hope you guys dig it. Like I said my wife really liked it but it just didn’t do much for me. The acting is really strong across the board and I’d watch Coach Taylor read the phone book, he’s a great actor.
yeah, this season got bit by the overtly didactic bug a little, but still.
sorry for interruption. carry on with your trade talk!
Chapman and Vause to Downton Abbey for Lady Edith and a servant to be named later. Who says no?
OK, the OITNB finale is very good.
Yeah. Great setup for S4
I have totally been digging Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D.
yes, I’m a weenie.
Thanks, and go As.
I caught up on the whole series a month or two ago, which is saying something because I hardly watch any tv except the stuff that my wife likes (and she doesn’t like superheroes).
It’s so fun!
Gotham, too. I’m a batman nerd though so duh.
Thanks, and go As.
I tried the first episode of Gotham and was turned off.
We just assuming Barreto does?
Thanks, and go As.
Manaea confirmed so far.
http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=manaea000sea
Nice. Fits the strategy so far, high upside, this time with injury red flags. Any word on the second one?
And nice first start with Midland, 7IP 0R 3H 9K 0BB
Can’t ask for a much better debut with the organization than that.
Very nice.
Sickels had Manaea ranked very high on his latest list:
http://www.minorleagueball.com/2014/11/18/7204121/kansas-city-royals-top-20-prospects-for-2015
2) Sean Manaea, LHP, Grade B+: The strong finish at Wilmington seems like a good sign and there’s no question about the stuff. Like Finnegan, he can be a three-pitch lefty with power stuff, although his command isn’t as refined as Finnegan’s. He was also a steal in the draft. Age 22.
Re: power stuff, Law said he some him last week, and further further, that he topped at 91.
Great, so he’s an injury-prone mystery with meh velocity.
I need to be hopeful about something, dammit.
The first start made me feel better.
Thanks, and go As.
Like the return for zobrist
I like this one, seems like Manaea is preferabletRobertson.
We now have our own Throwin’ Samoan. How the heck did his family wind up in Indiana?
I want to write his name Manæa. Can we pretend he’s Faroese or Icelandic instead?
Love
I don’t see that at all. Robertson is young hitting AA pitching very well and doesn’t have severe health problems
“Very well” and “severe” are both overstatements. On further thought though, I might disagree with my earlier comment. I think of Robertson as low ceiling, but his ceiling is actually pretty good.
Robertson is -3.1 years compared to average age. Hes got a 122 wRC+ while playing short stop. Seems pretty damn good to me.
You don’t think a labrum tear that requires surgery to be “severe”? Does the fact that he has had oblique groin and shoulder issues as well make you feel like cumulatively he isn’t a severe health risk considering this is all happening while he has been throwing limited innings?
He was still worth signing to almost double slot for KC, and your last link says that the hip problem won’t affect him long term and the shoulder had no structural damage
Thanks, and go As.
Yup. Roberston was indeed doing very well before the injury.
*anxiously awaits O’Flaherty trade*
The A’s have been sending salary assistance money with some of these deals, and Billy does need to refill that Pepsi machine.
If that happens color me impressed!
I actually sort of like Aaron Brooks. Exactly the type of low-key SP pick up Beane thrives with. If only that wasn’t half of the Donaldson return.
Heh.
Ugh.
So to tell us something that we already know Beane got punked in the Brandon Moss trade
CLE just got a top 100 spec in return for Moss half a season after we gave him away for flotsam
Part of this is the Cardinals being desperate after the Holliday injury. They overpaid, especially with how little Moss did for Cleveland, but that’s good timing for the Indians. Beane traded Moss after he was coming off an injury and, yes, probably could have and should have got more for him.
And yet Billy Beane decided instead of keeping a guy who is .8 WAR @ $6.5m instead we should go out and spend $30 for -.5 WAR. He should have just kept him if all that we were getting was Wendle.
right, just dumb overall
He’s been heavily in decline for awhile now. We need new blood running this team.
Come back, Farhan.
farhan picked up Jim Johnson. this year
And Johnson rewarded him thusly (although the Dodgers were able to come back)
The guy I wanted, Jose Ramirez, has been terrible as well.
yeah but hes young and can play SS which wendle isn’t. I think hes a good buy low target now.
I’d love him as a target for next year. But I’m not sure the Indians and A’s line up for a trade. Maybe for a young pitcher? Pomeranz for Ramirez is a dream I would think. Graveman or Bassitt for Ramirez?
Yeah… perhaps if they trade someone out of their MLB rotation?
Ramirez + Bourn for a C/C+ prospect
Eat the $14 million guaranteed on Bourn’s contract, maybe get a dead-cat bounce in his walk year, have Jose Ramirez at SS.
I ran the idea by Letsgotribe with Overton as the C+; they were quite taken with the idea.
It’s a lot of money but only for one year. 2016 vesting option based on PA’s but platooning protects Oakland from that kicking in unless he somehow returns to previous form.
we have tons of those cause that’s all billy gets when he trades premier free agents in walk years, amirite lowell cohn?!?!
Thanks, and go As.
Im uninnterested in moving Overton. Hes still got a higher upside than I care for for eating $14m
I needed a name and it was before he sat 90/91 during his last start.
He keeps that up he won’t be a C+ guy come the off-season!
Ive been high on Overton for a long time.
His velocity varied… as could be expected while recovering from TJS.
He’s a #5 if he’s throwing 87/88. And I’d deal a #5 in a heartbeat for a starting SS.
yeah hes a 5 that could be a #2
What’s his window?
Its moving
Left, I hope…
I would do it. And like DFA, I’m an Overton fan.
Bourn to Atlanta in a waiver deal. Some sort of mutual contract dump I guess. Bourn seems like somebody who will change teams a lot before his contract expires, so who knows, he may yet don the Green and Gold for one reason or another.
As for Swish:
makes me so mad. i am going tonight to see him
You’re in St Louis?
not going to see him.
dammit.
that’s what I meant
I’m amazed Moss fetched that much. Moss was never a premier player, and he always seemed to be a guy who would decline early. Maybe STL hates Kaminsky.
The must not like Dan Johnson, either. He and his Volvo just got DFA’d.
Oh please do this Billy. We need comic relief.
Hes probably better than Billy Butler
I find it interesting that the Blue Jays are landing big fish all over the place and The Evils have countered by adding Dustin Ackley. Does the Yankees farm system suck?
Is it just me or does the MIA ATL LAD trade show that the KAZ return was light?
You.
Honestly, what it really shows is that Miami is a horribly run franchise. They gave away Latos to get out from under Morse’ contract.
Atlanta’s side is interesting. After essentially buying Touki for $10MM, now it can be said that they sold Wood and Peraza for some $28MM.
I don’t think thats a fair way of looking at it.
They got Paco Rodriguez who is a elite albeit hurt reliever and a competitive balance pick.
Pereza is having a bad year. Olivera looks like a significant upgrade, Olivera will take Peraza’s place at 2b for the next 5 years. Wood for Paco Rodriguez a competitive balance pick and the difference between Olivera and Peraza seems like a reasonable price. I think this is a win win deal for both.
They could have had Olivera and kept Peraza and Wood for ~ $38MM more. Relievers involved are somewhat of a wash. Depending on what study you want to use, #40 pick is worth between $5MM and $12MM.
It’s a rough number, hence “some”. You might see it as a bit higher or as a bit lower, neither of which I would really object to. How Peraza and Olivera are doing is irrelevant to the statement I made and I never said it was or was not a reasonable price.
Well if you factor in the cost of building a time machine so they could return to the point in time when they could have paid the money straight, then its far more than $38 million.
Whatever
One… it was funny.
Two… ignoring time and information gained by seeing him play in stateside games, even a limited number of them isn’t fair
It’s fine. I was not trying to disrespect your ability to make funny jokes or pointed logical arguments, I was rather indicating that I have exhausted any remaining emotional attachment to the passing comment I made and reached the point where I am ready to start coping with the fact that I was not being fair.
Right. $14m plus three C/C+ specs. Essentially that values Nottingham @ $14m plus 2 C/C+ specs.
Cespedes -> Mets
Thanks, and go As.
Yes, but Felix Dubrount -> A’s!
Doubront is pretty bad, which means I only prefer him to about 6 of the guys in our bullpen.
And about three in our lineup
Thanks, and go As.
Thanks, and go As.
Wait, Ryan Cook was playing for the A’s?
Wait, someone actually WANTED Ryan Cook?
Wait, I was playing for the Sox?
Athletics trade RHP Ryan Cook to the Boston Red Sox for a player to be named later or cash or like if you just buy us a beer next time we see each other we’ll call it even
Speculation is it could be for Daniel Nava.
And Sam Adams.
would we want nava?
More than Cook?
you know there is nothing
So Daniel Nada, amiright?
No.
I was confusing name and decided this was actually Daniel Bard. I know Cook has control issues but damn…
Danny Valencia may be available on waivers from Toronto…..I think we could work something up with this in right field:
https://youtube.com/watch?v=r2BPoX57Fo4%3Frel%3D0” frameborder=”0″ allowfullscreen>
He’s been sneaky-productive this year.
I am pretty happy with smolinski
Eof dfa
dfa otm
there is only one of me.
every hipster’s mantra ;-)
asvd. ASVD!