Disappointment:
I bombed the LSATs. So law school isn’t happening this year.
That means I have to legitimately look for a new job ASAP so I don’t kill myself or my boss. If you know anyone with opening in the following areas please let me know:
- Banana Republic Dictator
- Major League Baseball GM
- Professional Nap taker
- Drunken Debater (could also be sober)
- Professional internet reader
Seriously, though, if you know anyone in the research/policy/labor/political/nonprofit world that is looking to hire someone, and pass it on I would appreciate it greatly.
Hope wise: I had an outstanding second date with the red head from Sac. She got her car busted into on NYE and so we had an In n Out Auto Glass / dinner date that just was gangbusters. Breaking into cars is a cottage industry in SOMA and its happened to most of us at one point, and I recommend In n Out Auto Glass to fix you up with minimal damage to you wallet. She was super happy that I knew what to do with her car on a holiday.
B Star was our dinner destination. We got there just in time before happy hour ended so our meal consisted of B sprouts, the fries with curry aoli, and the miso butter corn with chili and lime for appetizers with the miso cod and the vegetarian noodles for our mains. The corn was mediocre and the aoli made the fries work, but the rest of the food was fantastic. The miso cod had perfectly blended with the shitaki mushrooms and the fish was well cooked. The vegi noodle were spicy but not overly so (but more than advertised) and the flavor really stood out from the cold dish. B sprouts were a excellent offering with a good balance of acid and sprout.
B Star has been a go to date favorite for a long time and its worth heading out to Clement for it.
1. Sorry about the LSATs. Was it a particular type of question?
Interesting to hear such a rave review of B Star. I’ve only ever gone a couple times (my parents live out there) and they were pretty early in the endeavor. It felt like basically just Burma Superstar without the lines or some of the best items, which was a fair enough trade. I will say, though, that if you’re feeling like an adventurous brunch it’s a good spot.
I’ll have to try it again.
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It just seems like I was careless in the non logic games and it turned out that I got basically what I had been getting on the logic games which was my weak suit. I think I might have filled in the bubbles wrong on one section because I got 4 of the last 5 answers wrong after being perfect to that point.
I like Burma Superstar a lot, but I find B star to be slightly more refined. I like the refinement.
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I guess we aren’t the same person after all. I had to really bear down on the other 80% of the test, but I don’t think I ever missed a logic game question.
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well fuck. I guess im not going to have a cool wife or a duaghter named Yeonessia either.
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I don’t see why you both can’t have cool wives and daughters with Russian-influenced surnames…
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Yoenessa is Cuban-influenced, tyvm
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One of the ones I use lately on my students is the following:
Imagine there is a an easy to administer, instantaneous test for a disease, say cancer. It claims to be 98% precise, meaning that:
A) 98% of people who have cancer will be diagnosed positive, 2% will be diagnosed negative
B) 98% of people who do not have cancer will be diagnosed negative, 2% will be diagnosed positive
Also, assume that we know that one in every two hundred people does have cancer.
You test and the result is positive. With these numbers in mind, how certain are you that you really do have cancer?
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Only 25% chance that you have cancer.
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How did you get that number?
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Pretty close, but it’s actually below 20%.
For those wanting an explanation it goes like this. Imagine a group of say 10,000 people. Per our definition, 50 of those will have cancer. Those 50 will be tested with following results 49(98%) will be tested positive, 1(2%) will be tested negative. Out of 9950 people who don’t have cancer 9751(98%) will be tested negative, 199(2%) will be tested positive. So in the group of 248 positive tests, only 49 really do have cancer, or just under 20%
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I did the same calculation, but just screwed up my division at the very end. 98/20000 correct positive diagnoses; 398/20000 incorrect positive diagnoses. I took the ratio 98/398, instead of 98/(98+398). Whoops.
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Woo, Bayesian stats! And epidemiology. I like this question because of how it messes with intuition.
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And for a less morbid one:
There was a game show in Germany, where at the end the contestant was given a choice of three doors, behind one of them there was a prize.
After he/she picked a door, the showmaster would open on of the two remaining doors that didn’t contain the prize. To increase the tension, the contestants were offered to change their decision and switch to the other unopened door.
In case they said yes did they:
a) increase their chance of winning?
b) kept their chance of winning the same?
c) decrease their chance of winning?
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I’ve seen this one before. Yyou’re supposed to switch the door you picked and it’s something like 66.6666% chance of winning with the switched door and 33.333% with the door you originally picked. And, FYI, it’s a damn ‘Merican game show.
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I should have figured it was ‘Murican – most shows are
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Particularly game shows. The two popular game shows while I lived in Russia were versions of the American game shows Name That Tune and Wheel of Fortune.
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In Russian version, Tune Names YOU.
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And it’s actually called the Wheel of Unfortune
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First prize – a round-trip ticket to Magadan. Second prize, a one-way ticket to Magadan.
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reading that link. I am one… it makes no sense
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I’ve actually tested this one with a shit ton of random data generation through our survey programs and it turns out be 100% accurate.
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I think its got to be B since there is a 50 50 chance when you only have 2 doors left and one contains the prize. Whether you chose the correct door in the first place has no impact on the outcome, since they open one of the two doors regardless of whether you chose right. At the same time this is the simplest answer and that scares me.
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That was my initial reaction, too. I even argued it for a second, too, although I will claim in my defense I was presented the question after a grueling survival training in Austrian Alps. It is also wrong. Wanna ponder on it some more or want an explanation?
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explain away because i still think its bunk if you treat each choice independely
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This is the simplest explanation. The only way you will win without switching is if you pick the door right initially, which will happen one out of three times. If you haven’t picked the door right initially (which will happen two out of three times) you will win by switching the door. So, in two out of three, the switch will be for a gain, in one out of three it will be for a loss.
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This is what I don’t understand. Whatevver your choice is on the first part, the host opens one of the wrong doors, leaving a 2 doors and one prize. It doesn’t make a difference whether or not there was a third choice because if you select correctly you are left wtih two doors and one prize. If you selected incorrectly you have two remaining doors and one prize. If you treat the the option to stay as a choice in itself, you have a 50% chance to pick the 1 of two options. Yes you have a greater probability of picking the right door than initially, but switching shouldn’t increase your odds of winning.
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Another way of explaining it: Whatever choice you originally make, you have a 1/3 chance of it being that door and a 2/3 chance of it being one of the other doors. That probability DOES NOT CHANGE once the door with the goat is opened. It is not independent of your original choice.
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But the odds that your initial guess is correct isn’t 1/3 but its one of two
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That’s where you are wrong
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The thing you are missing is how we got to what seems to be a one out of two choice. If we had no previous information, it would truly be a 50/50 choice, but we have more information – only you don’t use it.
Consider this. There is a big crowd in the audience. You randomly pick a person, trying to choose the tallest person in the room. The showmaster then picks the tallest person of the remaining crowd (equivalent to eliminating the “empty doors”, the short people were removed from the possible choices for you). You cannot see the person you picked, nor the one that is left to choose. If you don’t use that information, you will think there is a 50% percent chance that your guy is taller than the alternate choice. However, if you use that information, you will know that there is above 50% chance that a person being chosen as the tallest form a large group will be taller than your random choice.
Back to the doors. You are ignoring the information that the alternative door is “the tallest person of the group of two”
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but that contradicts event the Wiki explanations of why that is true.
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I don’t know what you mean by that, but I’m pretty sure it does not contradict it, as both explain the same side of the argument
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But if you played the game 100 times and never switched, you’d win 33.3% of the time, because it would be a pure 1 in 3 pick. If you played the game 100 times and always switched, you might think you’d win 50% of the time, because it would seem to be a pure 1 in 2 pick. However, it’s not. Your initial pick, if you don’t switch, has a win probability of 33.3%, due to it being a pure 1 in 3 pick. Since one door will be eliminated, no matter what, the final choice in the game is between two choices. Your initial choice still has a win probablility of 33.3%. It doesn’t gain 17% win probability due to the elimination of the third door. Since there is only one other choice in the game, it gets a 66.6% win probability by default. Therefore, always switch.
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aw shit… forgot to spoil it. someone feel free to edit it in if necessary.
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Just did
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ok this makes more sense.
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Vos Savant replied with further explanation, “The winning odds of 1/3 on the first choice can’t go up to 1/2 just because the host opens a losing door,” and she proposed a shell game to illustrate her thinking: “You look away, and I put a pea under one of three shells. Then I ask you to put your finger on a shell. The odds that your choice contains a pea are 1/3, agreed? Then I simply lift up an empty shell from the remaining other two. As I can (and will) do this regardless of what you’ve chosen, we’ve learned nothing to allow us to revise the odds on the shell under your finger.” She also proposed a similar simulation of the game with three playing cards.
thats the best explanation but why doesn’t it change the odds?
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It does change the odds. It changes the odds of switching from two 1/3 chances to one 2/3. What it doesn’t do is change your initial odds retroactively.
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Because the uncovering of the door/cup tells you nothing about your initial choice. The showmaster does not have an option of uncovering your door. Wherever the pea/car is, your initial door/cup will never get uncovered, so you don’t have anymore information than you had to start with.
However, the information which of the remaining two cups/doors he chose to uncover does give you information on the third cup/door. The pure fact that it was not uncovered, and unlike your initial choice it could have been uncovered, provides you with additional information. That’s why the odds of your initial choice remain the same (no new information, because it can never be uncovered), yet the odds of your remaining choice increase with the additional information (it could have been uncovered, yet it wasn’t)
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I won’t do a block quote, because I think the spoiler will not override it, but you said: “It doesn’t make a difference whether or not there was a third choice…”. Actually it does. Because it makes your initial choice less likely to be correct. Imagine the same taken to an extreme – One thousand doors, one car. You pick one door. The showmaster eliminates 998 doors without a car, leaving you with a choice of your initial door or the “best one” of the remaining 999. You still think the chances are even?
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This is a good explanation.
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I don’t agree what happens before the second choice is irrelevant to the fact that you are left with one correct and one incorrect choice.So you have a 50% choice
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You can agree or not agree, but that doesn’t change the fact that you are wrong, sorry. However, if you are in for a friendly wager or two…
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Indeed. This is one of those mathmatical proof situations, not a debatable point.
Starting odds are 1/3, 1/3, 1/3. You pick one. Odds are then 1/3 1/3 1/3. The host opens a door with no prize, reducing that door’s odds to zero, but NEVER THE DOOR YOU PICKED. In other words, his action tells you nothing about the door you picked, so it doesn’t make your door more likely because you know the rules. If I didn’t know the rules, or watch the first round, it is true that the two remaning doors would be 50/50. But instead, they aren’t. The opened door’s change from 1/3 to 0 acts only to increase the odds of the door I didn’t choose for 1/3 to 2/3 because it simply cannot give me any information about my pick.
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ok this makes some sense
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Think of it this way. Each door has a value of 1 thru 3:
You choose #1 and #3 was removed. #1 & #2 are left. You chose correct.
You choose #2 and #3 was removed. #1 & #2 are left. You chose incorrect.
You choose #3 and #2 was removed. #1 & #3 are left. You chose incorrect.
In only 1 of those three combinations have you chosen #1. In 2 of those new combinations, #1 is the door left that you didn’t choose.
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< / neverdoor >
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heh
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Demonstration by simulation — link
>>> import monty_hall
Method 1 success fraction = 0.332820
Method 2 success fraction = 0.667180
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Crap. This should probably be spoilered too.
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FTFY
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1) It’s important to phrase the question carefully (which I think ec has done here) to make clear that the host knows where the prize is and always reveals a losing door. Otherwise the answer can be different.
2) The same calculation in a different guise is known to bridge players as the principle of restricted choice
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1) Exactly. The host (thanks for reminding me of the word, so I don’t have to type the showmaster anymore) has the information where the prize is, and by revealing the losing door, he gives us some of that information.
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re. (2) – check your mail (and you other bridge FKers).
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I want to be a bridge fker.
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For real? It could be arranged (especially if there are any more players out there too).
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Yes… I think you are the only one of the bridge fkers that I haven’t told this to in person.
Just to warn you I haven’t really played since my grandfather died. He was our fourth.
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I’d play. I’ve only played bridge 2-3 times, and not for 20 years, but I’m pretty sharp at spades and hearts and card counting so I reckon I could pick it up.
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Excellent! One more and we’d have enough for duplicate.
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There’s a guy named Bazerman whose work is in perceptual biases and distortions to which people are prone, and how folks are thus led to stupid outcomes, like mergers and, I s’poze, free agent signings. One of them (relevant to neither example, oh well) has to do with careful phrasing/framing the choices, as in the following:
The CDC is preparing for an outbreak of an exotic Asian [always] disease that, left untreated, will kill 6,000 people. Alternative programs are being considered — which would you favor?
1 — If Program A is adopted, 2,000 people will be saved.
2 — If Program B is adopted, there’s a 1/3 probability that all will be saved, and a 2/3 probability that no one will be saved.
or the choices could be framed
1 — if Program A is adopted, 4,000 people will die.
2 — if Program B is adopted, there’s a 1/3 probability that no one will die, and a 2/3 probability that all will die.
3/4 of the people confronted with the first set of choices choose A to lock in the gain, whereas 87% in a second sample choose B — rolling the dice, rather than accepting the loss. People tend to be risk-averse to protect gains, and risk-seeking to avoid losses. DFA probably uses this n labor negotiations — are you gaining money vs. the current contract, or losing money vs. your aspiration point?
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There is value in certainty, even if the expected value of number two is the same.
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Yes. However, the two sets of questions are absolutely identical, as are their certainties. The only difference is the wording.
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I read it before 8 am… you cannot expect my brain to be functional.
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Someone should start a band called “Marvin Miller and the Aspiration Points.”
Their whole set would be differently styled arrangements of “Joe Hill.”
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In the first set, are we assuming that that 2000 only applies to the 6000? My gut reaction to that was #2 only because it wasn’t clear if the solution only saved 2000 but could potentially put the whole population at risk beyond the original 6k. The same led me to conclude option #1 would be better in set 2 because it also wasn’t clear if #2 affected the entire population rather than just the original 6k.
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I’ve seen that one before, but it always kind of irked me that the details of the other 4K or 2K in either Program A was left unsaid. I get that we’re supposed to assume that they will die/be saved, and this scenario has a strict be saved/die binary for the 6,000 people, but with the way it’s (intentionally) worded, I don’t see why someone couldn’t argue that Program A1 saves 2000 and we don’t yet know what happens to the other 4000, while Program A2 kills 4000 and we don’t yet know what happens to the other 2000, making them very much not identical scenarios.
Sorry to hear man.
Are Burma and B Star owned by the same people?
Looks like the same hood’, every time I’ve gone to Burma on Clement it’s been over an hour wait to sit and I always end up at the communal table, which kind of blows when you’ve waited so long.
Oakland location is way better in terms of wait time and ambiance.
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Yeah they are the same folks. B Star is more upscale (though the wait can be long as they don’t have many tables) and more fusiony.
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Also, quit breaking the car windows of pretty girls, its a diabolical strategy.
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I get a cut of the replacement, which I then use to pay for the dates.
If you’re going to use the “Codpiece” tag, a pic of the old Codpiece himself is a must.
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I don’t get the reference.
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After the “5 Aces” all blew their arms out, Codiroli was about the best young pitcher the A’s were left with during the dark years of the Steve Boros/Jackie Moore era. He was a mediocrity at best and quickly earned the disparaging nickname “Codpiece” from the sarcastic bleacher bums who loyally came out night after night to watch the losses mount.
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But look at that beautiful stadium in the background. Sagh. Also, this photog really needs to learn how to balance fill flash and ambient light.
If I wanted to learn more about operator algebras I would totally eat at that restaurant. They should serve involtini.
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They write the descriptions of those algebras so FKing generally, but is just the set of complex numbers plus the complex conjugate operator an example of a B* algebra? Maybe with the regular algebraic operators (add, multiply) as well?
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I think that’s the simplest example (since they are all algebras over C), yes. That whole area of math grew out of quantum physics.
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I guess my main question is: does anyone use B* algebras that aren’t just the complex numbers plus the complex conjugate?
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Yes. They are all algebras over the complex number, which is a vector space over the complex numbers along with some extra structure, so you can always think of the involution operator as complex conjugation, but in general the space is higher-dimensional (sometimes infinite-dimensional). (This wasn’t my field at all, but e.g, this might mean something to you. (Note that B*-algebras and C*-algebras are the same thing)).
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Math humor is so underrated!
Sorry to hear about the LSATs, I know you were hoping for that as an alternative for the new year. Best of luck on the next hunt.
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Thanks I appreciate it.
I miss this place.
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Me, too.
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I miss all of you. And Bed.
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Meh. I could have lived without you.
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Pssh, if I had a nickel for every time a woman told me that…
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Can I have $5?
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What’s that, 10 bj’s?
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From you?
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Of course. From you, they’d be free.
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I feel the love.
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Especially for you.
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I know, right?
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Thanks, my love. How are you?
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I’m alive. That’s something. How are you?
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I survived the holidays,and that’s something.
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So glad they’re over.
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Si! I mostly curled into a little ball and watched movies. That was good, though. I needed the rest.
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I got my money’s worth from Netflix, so we pretty much did the same thing.
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I watched Tudors and The Big C. I need baseball.
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I watched The Walking Dead, and random crap.
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OMG! Loved!
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I want to start watching The Tudors. And re-watch Downton Abbey from the beginning. I saw most of S1, but that’s it.
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I’d like to take Abbey Downtown.
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I thought she already worked there.
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If she isn’t already, she’ll be working hard for her money.
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Don’t you mean you’ll be working hard for her money?
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I don’t work hard. I work smart.
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If you’re not working hard, Downtown Abbey ain’t doing her job.
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There was a Tudors marathon on BBC America yesterday.
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You tell me now? Good work, Captain Too Late.
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I didn’t know you were interested. I think I have that show on DVD, too.
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What, suddenly you can’t read minds?
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I watched.
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And you didn’t tell me either? Why do you all hate me so?
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Season 1 is the best of the bunch – it goes hopelessly down the soap opera rabbit-hole in season 2, and though I haven’t seen any of 3 it has been panned (and had poor ratings) in the UK.
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Oh, good to know. And sad to know, I liked S1.
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I agree. I watched 1 and 2 and was out by 3.
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Hey you. Mikev says you’re classy. Who knew?
I just ate a cracker that expired 2 years ago. It tasted like old socks.
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Reminds me of this:
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That was awfully catchy.
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It’s my ringtone.
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I wanna call you while you’re with a patient.
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Try it, but I have my phone on silet when I’m working as a nurse.
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Damn. I think patients should hear that song.
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Phones aren’t allowed in patient areas, but I use my cell for work all the time. I have every doctor, nurse, pharmacy, pharmacist, hospital, and emergency number the ER needs in my phone. It comes in handy.
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Can you just play it over the PA system on a continuous loop?
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Yes, of course.
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Do it. DO IT.
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Very nice.
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Which in turn makes me think of the Gashlycrumb Tinies:
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This weekend we bought a couple of discounted cases of applesauce. Didnt notice until later they were best by June 2011. If it was just me I might have braved one, but was not about to mess around with the kids lunches.
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Whatever doesn’t kill them only gives them diarrhea.
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Probably not the best choice of meals.
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Especially given my recent GI illness.
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Don’t blow up your toilet. Or if you do, get photos.
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I am starting to feel queasy again.
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Light a candle this time, please.
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I’m working on a box of powdered hot chocolate mix that’s “Best Before Dec. 2007″, but it’s fine, and I’d guess as long as you keep it in a non-humid environment it would be good in 2040.
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My grandfather and I ate some 40′s WWII rations in the early 80′s and I’m still alive today, and I’m pretty sure he died of something else entirely.
Sorry to hear that. What kind of logic games were there?
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Fit 8 people in 6 airplane seats without letting the old people sit with the kids and Albert needs a fucking isle seat because he will bitch for days if he doesn’t get one.
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I think PTBNL’s answer would be to upgrade to business
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Didn’t fit in the bubbles.
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Blow up the plane.
Hang on, some guy with a gun is pounding on the door. BRB
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Clearly the first step is to throw Albert out the window somewhere over the Pacific, but after that I’m stumped.
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Scotland has a lot of available Isles if you’re flying that way.
Dude, if you get the job as Banana Republic Dictator can you get me the employee discount? I like their French cuffed shirts.
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Wouldn’t it be awesome if that was what they called their store managers?
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And required them to wear big fake beards.
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I think you’re onto something.
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French cuffed shirts are the way to go.
Also I have Vulcan Salute cuff links.
I once caught a fish that was this big.
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Yay! Happy for you. love.
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I have a big fish story, too.
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do you now?
When I become king of everything, DFA, you can come keep me entertained for fun and profit.
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I would like that job.
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I would hire you.
How much schedule inconvenience is worth a free upgrade on a long trip? For instance, would you add 3 hours and a change of planes for business over coach on a 12-hour flight?
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never flew anything but coach, sorry
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Wait. Seriously. You?
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he has a flying stage coach.
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That would make the most sense. Or he just has the power of flight. Or teleportation.
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Compared to the man, nothing else can be called “first class.”
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Spartan upbringing and all that. I also prefer to invest into travel as a mean, not as a source of comfort. Meaning, I’d rather split $1000 among a flight and a hostel, gas and food once I get there, than to spill it all out for 10 hours of pampering.
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Agreed, but in this case there’s no added financial cost.
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Is it? Or, in other words, can’t you use the miles to get another flight instead? Or a box of wine?
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It really is – I get a certain number of free upgrades for having flown 100,000 miles last year, but they can’t be cashed in for any other benefit and they expire in a year (in fact I think I gave some away here rather than have them lapse last time I had them).
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Yeah, those upgrades are actually pretty hard to use. I finally managed to use some of mine to get bumped up to first class for a Dallas to Seattle flight, but it’s the first time I ever got it to work.
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I’ve just activated expert mode on the United website and installed a grease monkey script, and it’ll now show me exactly how many spots are currently available in every fare code on any flight returned by my search – including upgrade-eligible and award seats.
But they’re almost never available in advance for transatlantic flights out of SFO, so I either need to wait-list and hope or to look for flights through Chicago, Dulles or Newark.
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cool. Are there similar tricks for American?
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Not sure, though I’m told their upgrades are much easier to obtain (especially at the highest status level).
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Yes, I probably would.
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worth it.
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No. Take the nonstop or direct flight, just get there as fast as you can. As soon as you go to multiple flights you introduce missed connections, lost luggage, etc.
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Should I fake my orgasms?
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MFW – Chicago O’Hare
You: Deplaning at the gate of my connecting flight, shoulder blade auburn hair and a Nuke the Whales sweater
Me: Wearing a wool blazer and noise cancelling headphones, carrying a slightly oversized green roller bag and a laptop case that stretched the definitions of accompanying item.
Our eyes met across the velvet rope. Copious sparks and a flight delay ensued.
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If by myself or just with Mrs. PDX, yes. If with the Spawn, no.
When Spawn1 was born, Grandma PDX paid for first class tickets for all three of us (Spawn got his own seat) to visit her in Florida, figuring that coach would be a major inconvenience with an infant. While it was certainly nice, it seemed like kind of a waste for us to be in first class. This guy wasn’t too happy to have an infant sitting behind him, either.
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I very rarely fly anything other than coach, but for me it’s not worth it if the flight is less than about 6 hours or so.
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I’d never pay for it, but I’ll take an upgrade regardless of the duration. I’ve managed to do it three times – Portland to Florida, Seattle to Vegas, and Frankfurt to DC. The Seattle to Vegas flight, while short, was still a nice experience. The Frankfurt one was heavenly as I had been working in FSU for six weeks and sat next to a beautiful and friendly woman.
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Did I tell you guys about the night I spent in Moscow?
In the morning we had “breakfast” at the hotel. There were two camping tables in the lobby, with tea and some biscuits. At the table next to mine, there were three Russians – a bouncer like type, a cheap suit businessman and a very pretty and stylish woman. She was being thought English by the businessman. The phrase she managed to master was “I am a beautiful woman, I am an expensive whore”. Than a car came and picked her up.
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You have two errors in this:
taught English
Then a car
I know… Im me and telling people how to write but usually you like the reminder.
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I do, thanks. I actually know both of these and will plead tiredness …
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You get tired?
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Yeah I don’t believe it either.
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No its some Avant-garde usage that us pedantic Americans haven’t heard of yet.
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win… so much win…
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thanks… but i preferred the 40 men died trying to find his ring joke better.
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And, more than likely, she was. On the same trip referenced above, I got daily calls to my hotel room in Kiev with propositions from the lobby prostitutes. In Odessa, the hotel receptionist called to see if I wanted to talk to a madam.
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To the gals from the prostitute lobby
Daily calls are much more than a hobby
They’ll peddle a trick
To Tom, Harry and Dick
But generally find old Dick’s too knobby
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nice!
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I’d be scared they’d rob me or leave me with an STD. Maybe I should travel with a gun and condoms.
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Probably safer that way. I’m looking forward to seeing how my stepfather fares next year when he’s going to Moscow for the track and field championship.
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Is he participating?
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He’s a fan in the true sense of the word. He travels to all the world championships and the US championships.
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Oh, I thought it was a Masters, not the real one. Good for him, I hope he likes Moscow
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My mom has after several mishaps convinced him to go on a tour sponsored by Track and Field Magazine. He did it last year in South Korea and will again in Russia. Better for him given that he won’t be able even to sound out the words, much less read them. Part of me would love to go with him just to visit again, but then I’d have to spend a week with him.
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Nice. Did he do track before?
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I think so, at the college level – mid- to long-distance running. I haven’t talked with him much about it, as our relationship was more or less nonexistent until a couple of years ago, but I don’t think it was ever at the championship level.
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Oh, sorry to hear that.
When I cam to the States they wanted me to run mid- to long-distance running, too.
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Our relationship is gads better than it was up to about 3 years ago, when he sent me an e-mail that nearly made my mom divorce him. After she read him the riot act, he (sort of) apologized. Since I’ve had kids, and our daughter in particular, he’s gotten a lot better, although I still can only take him in limited doses, as “conversations” tend to be very one way with him and his politics, in my mom’s words, are slightly to the left of Attila the Hun (unfortunately, some of that has rubbed off on my mom).
He took Spawn 1 and me to the the Olympic Trials for the hammer throw last year, which was held at the Nike Campus nearby. Although Spawn1 didn’t last too long, it was nice of him to do it. Since a lot of track and field happens at the University of Oregon, I’m sure I’ll join him for future events.
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Three blondes, a redhead, and a bald midget.
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No doubt she was, an entrepreneurial one, too.
But the hotel was at least clean and decent – in Ulan Bataar we actually slept in a whorehouse
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And had sex in a hotel?
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But really, aren’t we all whores?
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I’m classy :x
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Ok, besides you.
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so is Jennifer :x
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Debatable.
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Wouldn’t you like to know.
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Well, yeah.
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(she is.)
(classy, I mean. not a whore.)
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Classy means she still puts out, but she doesn’t charge and wears nice shoes. Right?
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Bitches. Neither of you will ever know.
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I don’t know if you have class, but I know you have classes.
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And glasses.
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And you like to grab asses.
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Only at work.
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yes i do
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Difference between a bitch and a whore – a whore FKs everybody, a bitch FKs everybody, but me.
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Haha! Wait, there are people who wouldn’t FK you???
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You just proved that there are no bitches in the world. Better tell Kyli.
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Damn, she’s gonna be pissed.
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I wouldn’t pay for it either, because I can’t afford it. But if I’m trading in miles, I’d rather save them for an upgrade on a longer flight.
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You’re still talking about whores here, right?
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Is there any other subject worth talking about?
Isit wrong thatI likepistachio nutsless now that I know theycome from pine trees?up
wait really?
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Yeah. I loved them before and I really shouldn’t like them less, but for some reason, I do.
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So then where do pine nuts come from?
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Pistachio trees.
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Huh. Who knew?
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here, I fixed it for you
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Thank you.
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Remind to never speak of anything ever again.
This title makes me think that mikeV will be disappointed that there is no picture of Hope Solo in it
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…or naked pictures of Bob Hope.
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If you flip-flop the hope and disappointment, it’s what women experience in my bed.
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So you’re saying that there is hope?
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Thanks for the memories.
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At the start. Then I take off my pants, at which point they either sagh or point and laugh.
I see 3 Bay Area jobs on this list, although you’re probably not qualified for the one in San Jose (they distributed 45 million pounds in FY2012, that’s a pretty big operation). The one in Concord is much smaller, about 16 million pounds and only 180 agencies. Major Gifts Officer probably involves data entry and writing thank you letters. It may require schmoozing donors, but so does every job at a NPO.
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This should be addressed to DFA, if that isn’t obvious.
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Thanks for that.
The concord opening looks interesting
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You’re welcome. Just keep in mind that working at a food bank isn’t glamorous I’m-Feeding-Hungry-People work. I mean, you are helping to feed them, but most of the work is office-type stuff. I don’t know how those food banks work, but the one here only has a couple of programs that are direct feedings. They have Backpack Buddies, which involves packing a backpack with food for kids to take home over the weekend. They prepare meals for a few Kid’s Cafe sites and Meals On Wheels. And they occasionally do a mass distribution. This involves filling an old beer truck with food, going out into a neighborhood in a food desert and just give away food. Other than that, they’re more of a clearinghouse. They take in donations and purchase food, and then distribute it to agencies. The agencies then get the food out to the clients.
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And if you worked in Concord, you’d be closer to me every day!
When news breaks, Grant fucks it up.
But, seriously, good on the Braves.
:boggle:
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That’s probably true, in that half of us don’t hate the Warriors.
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Does anyone care about basketball?
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No.
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Basketball is like my fantasy team.
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You have dreams of having a 5 way?
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Christina Hendricks, Scarlett Johansson, Miranda Kerr, a certain young lady I know, and me.
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I… think… I like basketball now. Just not the one played by 7 ft tall tattooed up gentlemen.
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Sorry Ed, I tried to copy your embed structure when my youtube post didn’t go right, and ended up screwing up yours too. I should just stick to links.
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if there is something lower on the list of things I care about, I’ll let you know.
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Thanks for fixing.
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I didn’t, oneone else did.
I like the basketball
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You mean you care about me more than that? Aww, Ed. I had no idea! I ♥ you, too!
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um, hey look
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Are you breaking up with me via blog???
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Fuck yes.
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Anyone? Beuhler?
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He asked about basketball, not fking. Everyone here LOFS fking.
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I mean, I’m hella ambivalent toward them and I don’t care about basketball at all, so I’m not going to jump on the bandwagon, but at the same time the Warriors have literally been good like two seasons in my entire life so I”m happy for people who are fans.
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I’ve never been much of an NBA fan, but the fact that the Warriors now have two guys I followed closely as college players has roped me in this year. Beyond that, they’re a real fun team to watch (if one is able to find any basketball fun), and even through all the years of suck the W’s fans have turned out in good numbers and have a great reputation for passion and knowledge of the game.
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The real question is why the A’s flagship station isn’t comparing the Warriors run to the A’s run. Especially since the A’s were a far more compelling story than the Giants anyway.
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Because they’re fucking morons.
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Have they discussed what was wrong with Timmeh yet?
I’m trying to break into some more hardcore statistical analysis, and am trying to teach myself R… I remember (maybe faultily?) a piece by EC, here or I guess maybe at **, that was an introduction… does anyone know what I’m talking about / where that is?
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I remember a few of them during the stretch at ** where they were doing the Staturday series. My brain could be foggy but maybe early 2009? And I keep wanting to say the Llama was heavily involved. But then again I couldnt tell Napo and the monkey apart when I started, so dont trust me past Staturday.
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Heh. I got Poppy and 67M confused somehowwhen I first started at **. I don’t know how the hell that one happened.
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It took me a few months to realize that Poppy had nothing to do with Papi.
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And I also spent at lest a year or two as a kid confusing Burt Reynolds and Clint Eastwood. So I think I’m just hopeless.
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Who was it that confused me with some guy that wanted to shoot wolves from helicopters?
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Oh man. That asshole.
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Wow, he sure made an impression.
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He went over the top asshole troll on Atti.
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I’ve apologized repeatedly for that.
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No, no, no, YOU went under the bottom asshole troll on her. That was okay. I’m talking about the other guy.
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What’s the story with that? That sounds pretty awful.
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Oh yeah, Atti was the one who thought I was that guy. If I ever hunted wolves from a helicopter, I’d only be armed with a camera.
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I’m pretty sure it was vignette. If you check his blog over there you should find it. I don’t know R ( I downladed a package last year, but never got around to using it)
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Actually, here it is
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Yeah, as if anybody will be doing any meaningful fanposts on that site.
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But GOAT JOKES!
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NOTHING HAS CHANGED! PEOPLE COME AND GO!! ITS THE NATURAL COURSE OF LIFE!!!
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I’m sorry, but the iglew has long since melted.
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Yep. Thanks for linking me.
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Ah, thanks so much! I so thought it was you!
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I wrote a piece on it that ec linked above. Beyond the Boxscore also had some baseball R tutorials. If you do have any questions, feel free to email me (or post here) any questions as I’m always happy to work on R code.
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Awesome, thanks Vignette! I’m gonna spend a day taking in the post, looking forward to unlocking such a powerful tool!
Well damn.
local pub place closed.
Too bad, there was a couple really cute waitresses there.
Collin Klein certainly married hisself to quite the corn-fed Midwestern farm girl pile of blonde hair.
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On paper this looked to be the most entertaining of all the BCS games. So far not bad, but hopefully the theatrics will amp up more soon.
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It seems like both teams actually care about winning this game, which is true in way too few bowl games. The Sugar Bowl used to be a big deal every year, but last night Florida mailed it in before 25,000 empty seats in the Superdome. The Rose Bowl has maintained its feeling of being a big game in the BCS era because it’s usually still Pac
1012 vs. Big Ten, but I’m concerned that in the new playoff era it will become just another also-ran bowl.up
Yeah, the Rose Bowl stands out that way; most others leave you at the luck of the draw of matchups and motivations. Florida was atrocious. Similarly, I was certain (and should have bet) that a bored USC team was gonna get beat in El Paso by Georgia Tech.
Michigan vs South Carolina, OTOH, was really entertaining. And my other alma mater Northwestern (one proud quarter attended) won its first bowl game in 63 years!
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The first game of the Sonny Dykes era is Northwestern @ Cal on August 31.
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Hmmm…I may have to fly down with Spawn1 for that game.
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Already making arrangements – and it looks like the A’s are playing at home (Rays, Rangers) that weekend.
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If you like I can try to get the front row seats for you.
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That would be awesome! Thanks for the offer.
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Let me know which date(s) you want and I’ll see what I can do.
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Although the Northwestern-Cal game has been confirmed for Saturday 8/31, a note to PDX and Spawn1 from a Pac-12 guy:
That’s actually much better than the situation during the conference season when game times are usually set 12 days in advance of the game, i.e. two weeks beforehand you still don’t know whether you have an early afternoon game or a night game. That’s a right all those television $$$ buys.
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[Wait until he books the trip down before telling him no kids are invited]
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Heh.
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64! And what a beautiful thing it was!
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Also, the rose-in-teeth thing.
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I didn’t see the MI-SC game, but everyone here is still talking about Clowney’s hit. Sweet Jeebus, he damn near killed that guy.
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It was decent.
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Evil clown.
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Even after replays at two other camera angles, I have no idea how he got there so fast.
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You would think that at least one player on offense would try to get in the way of the best player on defense.
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Well, technically, Vincent Smith did
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True.
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In recent years, Michigan has shown a disturbing propensity for letting students play on the football team.
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I have no idea how Smith got up after that hit.
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Wait — you went to SOUTH Carolina? Good thing I didn’t know, or I might have been lured by perceptual bias into a stupid bet. Gamecock, eh? It has possibilities…
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What? No, how did you infer that?
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You had a sentence that mentioned South Carolina and followed it with a sentence containing “my other alma mater”.
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Yeah — it was the “and” — I knew you held Michigan in a certain non-alumnatorial disdain, so I read too much into the conjunction.
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Ah, I see now. The inexactitude was my fault; perish the thought that anyone would ever consider me a Gamecock. For the record, North Carolina Chapel Hill and Northwestern. Also, I like Michigan.
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If you didn’t happen to be watching the game, this is the aforementioned Mrs. Klein, whom ESPN put on-screen repeatedly for some reason or other.
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She looks really happy.
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They got their butts kicked by the Ducks in the second half; things got so bad they even blocked a kick but gave up a weird 1-point safety on the play.
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Huh, how does that work?
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Caught the blocked kick in play, ran backwards into the end zone, tackled.
I’m sure I’ll never see it again in my life
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Why isn’t it 2 points like a regular safety? Was it on an extra point?
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the safety still brings me nightmares.
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Witchy! Ready for your guys to lose to my guys in the SB? :P
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if we are both lucky, maybe. i don’t know if i can stand another sb loss. that slayed me. (miss you!!!!!!!!)
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I miss you, too! Seems like you had a busy holiday season.
As for SB losses, I’ll be happy for my team to just get there.
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i will try to be around here more. thing are busy, in a fancy-fabulous way. always thinking about you all in a good way and sending my love. xoxoxo
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Yes. In college, such thing exists as a one-point safety on blocked PAT kicks in which the kicking team picks up the ball and proceeds to get tackled in their own end zone. In the NFL, the play would have been whistled dead once the kick was blocked.
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Needs an addition, as EC implies below:
Also, on a two-point conversion attempt, if the offensive team fumbles or has a pass intercepted outside the end zone and the defensive team carries the ball back into the end zone where it is downed, that is also a “one-point safety” for the offensive team.
The reason any defensive player ever tries to do anything with the ball after the offensive team’s conversion attempt has failed is that the ball can be run all the way back down the field to the far end zone, resulting in two points for the defensive team. And yes I have seen FKing Cal give up two or three of those. But if there’s no clear opportunity to do that, the defense should usually just down the ball in the field of play. Defensive players tend to start lateraling the ball all over the place once they gain possession, and that’s why these oddball situations come up.
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Yes, extra point.
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Ok, in that situation it makes sense. You shouldn’t give the kicking team 2 points for getting their kick blocked. I thought it happened on a field goal, in which case I couldn’t understand why it would be 1 point and not 2.
Sigh.
I hate financial bullshit.
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elaborate, please
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Eh. I could get into detail, suffice to say that I feel like I’m in a situation where I cannot get ahead and doing the “right” thing appears to set me back further.
That said, I shouldn’t have bothered posting based on responses the last few times I’ve posted anything somewhat personal here, so fuck it.
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I don’t mind. And if you like to get it off your chest, I’ll gladly read it
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It’s just big picture in general, thats all. Doing things the “right” way, putting money into retirement and savings first, etc, doesn’t leave enough per month to afford little stuff like rent or mortgage or whatever, nevermind traveling to Antarctica and other most interesting man in the world type stuff.
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I’ve been thinking about retirement savings a lot lately because I’m spending a ton of money every month on my dad’s nursing home, which he doesn’t have any money to pay for. Of course, I don’t have any spare cash to save because… I’m spending a ton of money every month on my dad’s nursing home.
Also, 2% payroll tax increase. Whee!
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Imagine how I felt once I realized that my 401k contribution had been ZERO because it used to be a defined contribution plan and I had never gone and actually set my contribution to 6% to get the company match when it switched from a DCP to a 401k.
Between that, the payroll tax increase, and having the Flex Spending Acct for day care, my paycheck is WAY smaller every two weeks now even though I will get 400 bucks reimbursed from the FSA every month.
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I took a big step down in take-home pay when my fiancee and I registered as domestic partners and I put her on my health insurance. I’m lucky to work for a place that happily provides insurance for partners, but the gov’t doesn’t give it the same tax preference.
I haven’t actually taken a look to see what it’ll look like with the tax hike.
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Probably not helping much by complaining right back at you…
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Nobody can really help anyway so complain away.
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I read somewhere that the FSA was being reduced from $4800 to $2500. Can anyone explain this?
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I found this article, which might help. It looks like there used to be no limit, except what your employer would allow, but now there is a $2500 limit. I don’t use an FSA, so I can’t tell you anything more than that.
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I don’t use one either, but when MikeV mentioned it, I wondered how it will affect people.
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The use-it-or-lose-it rule seems really dumb to me. My fiancee had an FSA at her last job and would just spend the any leftover money on contact lenses, which is a pretty good method of taking care of it, I guess.
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I wonder if the new limits only affect the Healthcare part, or the entire account. I guess you can get the childcare taxes refunded on your tax return. This would just require the taxes to be paid upfront.
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I didn’t even realize that they have FSAs for childcare, until MikeV mentioned it.
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The type benefits may vary from employer to employer?
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Everything that I’m reading seems to indicate that it’s only for Healthcare. I hope so – we use the childcare to it’s limit ($5000).
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That is good to hear. I am my children’s care provider. The Mrs just pays me in favors…like letting me watch A’s games!☺
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That’s good of her.
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The use it or lose it is aweful. As of a few years ago you at least could have some flexibility on using it. But recently (at least for ours) they have really begun to limit what you can use it on. Back then we were able to get OTC meds, etc. Now the only things I found that I could use on a quick turnaround were contacts of batteries for my hearing aids.
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I think we were only opting to put about $2000/year in Mrs. PDX’s to cover all of our needs, so it’s not going to affect us too much, but it’s good to know that this is happening.
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I signed up a few weeks ago and put in 4800, so IDK.
So far it seems weird though. My paychecks are now 200 bucks less, and I still have to pay child care out of pocket, but then they will reimburse the 400 and put it back into my acccount.
And I save like 16 bucks in taxes.
I don’t get it.
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I’m always wary of these type of things. It can save you money, but it seems too easy to FK it up. I guess I put a premium on keeping my money flexible.
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something something lowering my taxable income something something?
IMO, it would be WAY more simple if you could just pay the child care directly from that account instead of having to be reimbursed for it every month.
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Again one of those “every place is different” things. We get a debit card we can use to pull from the acct. And yes, it does make it much easier. I probably would not use it if I had to reimburse everything.
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I agree. It’s really confusing. But then getting that magical extra $208.33 ($5000/24) deposit in our bank account twice a month is nice. For healthcare, it gets done automatically without us having to provide any paperwork, since my wife works at a hospital which insures itself.
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That sucks, sorry to hear that. Any possible improvements on horizon?
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Not without getting a different job.
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Well, that’s basically what I meant. Any chance of that?
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Probably not anytime soon — the job market is not the greatest right now.
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There was that sweet Banana Republic Dictator position, but DFA already got it.
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If i did i would probably need a tech director/boobs poster… a position that would clearly pay well.
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Minister of Women!
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If he appoints anyone other than a woman to that position, there will be war, I tells ya!
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I understand there are ways to make money here:
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It’s no fun. And this is the time of year were you will get it pounded into your head too. “live like those who make less than you!” “Pay yourself first!!” They are all good ideas on paper, but sometimes the real world doesnt work exactly like that.
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Yeah, it fucking sucks. I just hope that either the housing market or rental market nosedives again, and quickly.
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I’ve decided that I will be ready to buy again when the market is fully rebounded and in its next bubble, so I’m not thinking about buying unless a game changer happens. Of course, living down here I have little right to complain about housing prices to most everyone else on FK, but yeah, if I could get lower rent or get the bulk of it back as an interest deduction it would be nice.
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I’d just like to be able to afford a decent place.
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You kind of are a man out of time.
You’d be better off living 150 years ago, at the edge of civilization and the frontier.
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Wouldn’t we all?
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You wrote that comment in response to the person who regularly fantasizes about the day when he can transfer his brain to a computer.
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er… same thing, but with less gender-specific pronouns.
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I’m not the pronoun police. I claim all gender pronouns as my own.
I’m not offended in the slightest.
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It was mostly just my own realization that I generally think of you (who I’ve never met in the real world, obviously) as a dude. So I stopped to think about that for a bit.
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Are you on board a ship?
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Judging by the not-fixed-to-the-floor table, I’d say no
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A shipped that is permanently docked.
I am going to say the Hornet.
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OK, that could be, of course
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You are correct, sir.
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That man knows his unbolted ship tables.
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Ghost hunting wife meant a trip to the Hornet our last bay area vacation, and remember Kay saying they were going there on their last trip.
That + yours and ECs comments made it make sense.
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This comment just made me very happy. I love that you are strong enough and DGAF if we screw up, and that you will claim all the genders. F it-use them and abuse them as you see fit.
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It’s funny cause I saw Django last night which was set roughly 150 years ago.
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Complicated post-marital taxical calculations?
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No but I’m sure that’s going to fuck things up all over again. Ugh.
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I just spent the morning at my bank trying to get them to deal with a New Zealand ATM that never gave me any money but still tried to charge me for it. I think they will fix it, but it’s only $50.
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An ATM in Ulaan Bataar transfered 100 Euro to my account instead of charging it. So, together, we are on a plus side. I’m sure you are glad
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I figured that all ATMs did this sort of thing for you.
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Can I have ten yak chips?
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yum
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I can’t find it now, but years ago I Googled “yurt” and found a blog by some guy complaining about how hard it was to find a cup of coffee in Mongolia. Perhaps the ATM was reimbursing you for that inconvenience.
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And like most people, when I say “can’t find,” what I mean is that it’s not on the 1st page of Google results.
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Can I have 10 tögrögs?
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Are those the beasts the storm troopers were riding on Tatooine?
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You mean this magnificent beast?
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I was thinking of these, actually.
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I read this as “breasts”…
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Breasts make everything better.
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That they do!
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If I ever start a blog, I think I’ll call it breastsandbacon.com
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Will you sell advertizing spots, then complain about those using AdBlock?
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Of course. And I’ll do my best to make sure that fanposts can’t be found.
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Hiding fanposts involving breasts and bacon should be a capital offense…
DEATH BY UNGY-BUNGY!
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I’m keeping the breasts and bacon all for myself.
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You whore-durr!
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Heh, nice.
I thought this was really interesting.
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That’s pretty fascinating. There’s an area in SW Portland (generally not a high crime part of the City) where they found high levels of lead in the soil in the last year. I’m curious as to levels of crime there vs. other parts of SW Portland.
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I would guess that the time lag plus the fact that people move around would make it really hard, except that they seem to be able to show a link for other similar cases.
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The lead has been there for many years (a smelter used to be there), so the time lag wouldn’t be an issue, but the mobility thing is.
I just found a helpful map. The area with the lead problem is just a few blocks south of the area with the slightly higher crime. Given the aggregation of crime rates and the use 1/2 mile blocks and the mobility issue, there’s not a lot of conclusions to be drawn here.
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Makes sense. Lead water pipes is one of my favorite decline-of-Rome explanations.
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And George III.
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And the Franklin expedition (lead solder in the canned foods in their case).
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Lead has so many interesting stories to tell.
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Many are mafia related!
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You’ll nevah take me alive, coppahs!!!
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Also it was in their water filtration system
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Can I have $10B to replace my old windows?
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why don’t you just switch to linux?
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Or get a Mac. [runs away, cackling]
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you’ll be here all week
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Linux?? Isn’t that Lucy’s little brother?
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That was a fascinating read.
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Yup.
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It feels credible, but so did the abortion availability connection that the Freakonomics guy made to the exact same criume rate data.
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Did that have the same regional (or international) variation?
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Not at a local level, no. Dunno about international.
Polishing off a 1/2 bottle of wine. At work, with lots of shit to do. Sick of the bullshit demands, poorly thought out proposals, and the seemingly unnecessary politics of a bunch of people trying to collectively run a small company.
This is quite drinkable stuff.
See DFA? Another door opens …
If I win Powerball, I’ll hire you to soberly debate politics with drunken rednecks.
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that sounds hilarious… i bet you could make a reality show about that.
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They already have such a show. It’s called Ann Coulter.
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Well, I guess it’s really more a Tea Party rally. Or Fox & Friends, if we’re going with redneckish reasoning rather than actual redneck.
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also how often do you play powerball?
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Last time was maybe 4 or 5 years ago I guess.
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So at that rate you’d expect to win sometime before the next universe collapses.
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Yes. In other words, my win expectancy is almost exactly the same as it would be if I purchased Powerball every time.
Is anyone going to art murmur later?
If so we should meet up.
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I was there. You probably walked by our totally legit outdoor comedy club, haha.
uh huh
Sorry about the large number of embeds. They are all indispensable.
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The real funny part is that Canseco would in fact be less of an shithead than Toronto’s most recent mayor.
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The last one should just be dipped in bronze for posterity.
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I’m confused. Will he both serve as mayor and work for the Blue Jays?
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yes
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It’s all a ploy to unseat Adam Lind!
This is a good post.
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Remain calm! All is well!
Things that make you feel better… when people high up in the democratic party upon learning that you bombed the LSATs tell you that you actually scored 1 pt better than they did.
Life with right wingers #4,128:
FB posts within the same 30 minute period: the first lambasting “socialism” as a system whose power structure attempts to make people comply with it by violence and repressive force. The second about how every single person should be armed with semi-automatic weapons (including teachers, cabdrivers and, presumably, kindergarteners) and extolling/celebrating violent police repression (with force, don’cha know?) of dissent.
I’d say that I disagreed with him, but it becomes clearer every day that he disagrees with him, so what’s a logical lefty to do?
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Yeah, waiting for the nutjob hard right to implode under the weight of the logical inconsistency doesn’t seem to be working.
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I think they are against logic… for them it’s all part of the conspiracy to force this socialist plot called “The Enlightenment” down our throats. Next thing you know, doctors will be sued for bloodletting with leeches and stake-burnings of witches will be outlawed, and then where will they be?
When do they all move to Texas and secede again? Can we pay them off to do it? Maybe we can work out a trade where they get Texas, but Austin is airlifted whole to California.
Hey, how’s everyone doing tonight?
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My leg looks fucking disgusting right now. Check FB for pics.
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I sent Nurse Jennifer a pic. She thought I laid my bike down and had road rash.
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What did you do?
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Knee to the hip during a game, then I hit the wall last night.
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Nice ass.
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At least there’s something
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Pfft… it’s not as bad as the giant gash I have down the side of my calf.
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Pics or STFU
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…
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Typical… The man’s sitting on his ass doing nothing, holding a phallic object, harassing a woman.
Okay DFA: maybe this quiz’ll make you feel better:
… no logic games here, nosiree.
I got 5/8, which I consider to reflect a pretty good sense of the ridiculous.
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5/8
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same
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Yup.
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Likewise
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7/8(!)
I spend too much time reading things on the internet.
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if that is the case then what about me?
(I got them all)
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You spend too much time reading things on the internet.
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oh… that was simple
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You both tie with 8 of 9.
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It means the LSATs misjudged you.